A radiomics-based model for the outcome prediction in COVID-19 positive patients through deep learning with both longitudinal chest x-ray and chest computed tomography images

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had a major impact on global health and was associated with millions of deaths worldwide. During the pandemic, imaging characteristics of chest X-ray (CXR) and chest computed tomography (CT) played an important role in the screening, diagnosis and monitoring the disease progression. Various studies suggested that quantitative image analysis methods including artificial intelligence and radiomics can greatly boost the value of imaging in the management of COVID-19. However, few studies have explored the use of longitudinal multi-modal medical images with varying visit intervals for outcome prediction in COVID-19 patients. This study aims to explore the potential of longitudinal multimodal radiomics in predicting the outcome of COVID-19 patients by integrating both CXR and CT images with variable visit intervals through deep learning. 2274 patients who underwent CXR and/or CT scans during disease progression were selected for this study. Of these, 946 patients were treated at the University of Pennsylvania Health System (UPHS) and the remaining 1328 patients were acquired at Stony Brook University (SBU) and curated by the Medical Imaging and Data Resource Center (MIDRC). 532 radiomic features were extracted with the Cancer Imaging Phenomics Toolkit (CaPTk) from the lung regions in CXR and CT images at all visits. We employed two commonly used deep learning algorithms to analyze the longitudinal multimodal features, and evaluated the prediction results based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Our models achieved testing AUC scores of 0.816 and 0.836, respectively, for the prediction of mortality. © 2023 SPIE.

Prediction of Covid-19 transmission in India using deep learning neural network

Time series forecasting is a decisive step in data modeling and a significant area in machine learning. This paper presents Long short-term memory (LSTM) network, a deep learning neural network for predicting Covid-19 cases in India. The neural network models are trained and tested with Covid-19 case data sets obtained from PRS Legislative Research database. Further, the parameter optimization is carried out for choosing the optimal network. The parameters considered for evaluating the performance of LSTM network are RMSE, number of epochs, accuracy and loss. The results are compared with various recurrent neural network models and autoregressive model. The results revealed an improved accuracy of 92.8% for LSTM network in predicting the transmission of Covid-19 in India. © 2023 Author(s).

Forecasting COVID-19 Pandemic using Prophet, LSTM, hybrid GRU-LSTM, CNN-LSTM, Bi-LSTM and Stacked-LSTM for India

The COVID-19 Pandemic has been around for four years and remains a health concern for everyone. Although things are somewhat returning to normal, increased incidence of COVID-19 cases in some regions of the world (such as China, Japan, France, South Korea, etc.) has bred worry and anxiety in world, including India. The scientific community, which includes governmental organizations and healthcare facilities, was eager to learn how the COVID-19 Pandemic would develop. The current work makes an attempt to address this question by employing cutting-edge machine learning and Deep Learning algorithms to anticipate the daily incidence of COVID-19 for India over the course of the next six months. For the purpose famous timeseries algorithms were implemented including LSTM, Bi-Directional LSTM and Stacked LSTM and Prophet. Owing to success of hybrid algorithms in specific problem domains- the present study also focuses on such algorithms like GRU-LSTM, CNN-LSTM and LSTM with Attention. All these models have been trained on timeseries dataset of COVID-19 for India and performance metrics are recorded. Of all the models, the simplistic algorithms have performed better than complex and hybrid ones. Owing to this best result was obtained with Prophet, Bidirectional LSTM and Vanilla LSTM. The forecast reveals flat nature of COVID-19 case load for India in future six months. . © 2023 IEEE.

COVID-19 Prognosis from Chest X-ray Images by using Deep Learning Approaches: A Next Generation Diagnostic Tool

Global public health is overwhelmed due to the ongoing Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19). As of October 2022, the causative virus SARS-CoV-2 and its multiple variants have infected more than 600 million confirmed cases and nearly 6.5 million fatalities globally. The main objective of this reported study is to understand the COVID-19 infection better from the chest X-ray (CXR) image database of COVID-19 cases from the dataset of CXR of normal, pneumonia and COVID-19 patients. Deep learning approaches like VGG-16 and LSTM models were used to classify images as normal, pneumonia and COVID-19 impacted by extracting the features. It has been observed during the COVID-19 pandemic peaks that large number of patients could not avail medical beds and were seen stranded outdoors. To address such health emergency situations with limited available bed and scarcity of expert physicians, computer-aided analysis could save precious lives through early screening and appropriate care. Such computer-based deep-learning strategy could help during future pandemics, especially when the available health resources and the need for preventive measures to take do not match the burden of a disease. [ FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of Journal of Pure & Applied Microbiology is the property of Dr. M. N. Khan and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full . (Copyright applies to all s.)

Bayesian optimization for artificial neural networks: application to Covid-19 image classification

Training a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) is a difficult task, especially for deep architectures that estimate a large number of parameters. Advanced optimization algorithms should be used. Indeed, it is one of the most important steps to reduce the error between the ground truth and the model prediction. In this sense, many methods have been proposed to solve the optimization problems. In general, regularization, more specifically, non-smooth regularization, can be used in order to build sparse networks, which make the optimization task difficult. The main aim is to develop a novel optimizer based on Bayesian framework. Promising results are obtained when our optimizer is applied on classification of Covid-19 images. By using the proposed approach, an accuracy rate equal to 94% is obtained surpasses all the competing optimizers that do not exceed an accuracy rate of 86%, and 84% for standard Deep Learning optimizers. © 2022 IEEE.

Toward real-time and efficient cardiovascular monitoring for COVID-19 patients by 5G-enabled wearable medical devices: a deep learning approach.

Patients with deaths from COVID-19 often have co-morbid cardiovascular disease. Real-time cardiovascular disease monitoring based on wearable medical devices may effectively reduce COVID-19 mortality rates. However, due to technical limitations, there are three main issues. First, the traditional wireless communication technology for wearable medical devices is difficult to satisfy the real-time requirements fully. Second, current monitoring platforms lack efficient streaming data processing mechanisms to cope with the large amount of cardiovascular data generated in real time. Third, the diagnosis of the monitoring platform is usually manual, which is challenging to ensure that enough doctors online to provide a timely, efficient, and accurate diagnosis. To address these issues, this paper proposes a 5G-enabled real-time cardiovascular monitoring system for COVID-19 patients using deep learning. Firstly, we employ 5G to send and receive data from wearable medical devices. Secondly, Flink streaming data processing framework is applied to access electrocardiogram data. Finally, we use convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory networks model to obtain automatically predict the COVID-19 patient's cardiovascular health. Theoretical analysis and experimental results show that our proposal can well solve the above issues and improve the prediction accuracy of cardiovascular disease to 99.29%.

Time series forecasting of COVID-19 transmission in Asia Pacific countries using deep neural networks.

The novel human coronavirus disease COVID-19 has become the fifth documented pandemic since the 1918 flu pandemic. COVID-19 was first reported in Wuhan, China, and subsequently spread worldwide. Almost all of the countries of the world are facing this natural challenge. We present forecasting models to estimate and predict COVID-19 outbreak in Asia Pacific countries, particularly Pakistan, Afghanistan, India, and Bangladesh. We have utilized the latest deep learning techniques such as Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) to quantify the intensity of pandemic for the near future. We consider the time variable and data non-linearity when employing neural networks. Each model's salient features have been evaluated to foresee the number of COVID-19 cases in the next 10 days. The forecasting performance of employed deep learning models shown up to July 01, 2020, is more than 90% accurate, which shows the reliability of the proposed study. We hope that the present comparative analysis will provide an accurate picture of pandemic spread to the government officials so that they can take appropriate mitigation measures.

Analysis and Prediction of COVID-19 Multivariate Data Using Deep Ensemble Learning Methods.

The global economy has suffered losses as a result of the COVID-19 epidemic. Accurate and effective predictive models are necessary for the governance and readiness of the healthcare system and its resources and, ultimately, for the prevention of the spread of illness. The primary objective of the project is to build a robust, universal method for predicting COVID-19-positive cases. Collaborators will benefit from this while developing and revising their pandemic response plans. For accurate prediction of the spread of COVID-19, the research recommends an adaptive gradient LSTM model (AGLSTM) using multivariate time series data. RNN, LSTM, LASSO regression, Ada-Boost, Light Gradient Boosting and KNN models are also used in the research, which accurately and reliably predict the course of this unpleasant disease. The proposed technique is evaluated under two different experimental conditions. The former uses case studies from India to validate the methodology, while the latter uses data fusion and transfer-learning techniques to reuse data and models to predict the onset of COVID-19. The model extracts important advanced features that influence the COVID-19 cases using a convolutional neural network and predicts the cases using adaptive LSTM after CNN processes the data. The experiment results show that the output of AGLSTM outperforms with an accuracy of 99.81% and requires only a short time for training and prediction.

Multivariate time series short term forecasting using cumulative data of coronavirus.

Coronavirus emerged as a highly contagious, pathogenic virus that severely affects the respiratory system of humans. The epidemic-related data is collected regularly, which machine learning algorithms can employ to comprehend and estimate valuable information. The analysis of the gathered data through time series approaches may assist in developing more accurate forecasting models and strategies to combat the disease. This paper focuses on short-term forecasting of cumulative reported incidences and mortality. Forecasting is conducted utilizing state-of-the-art mathematical and deep learning models for multivariate time series forecasting, including extended susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR), long-short-term memory (LSTM), and vector autoregression (VAR). The SEIR model has been extended by integrating additional information such as hospitalization, mortality, vaccination, and quarantine incidences. Extensive experiments have been conducted to compare deep learning and mathematical models that enable us to estimate fatalities and incidences more precisely based on mortality in the eight most affected nations during the time of this research. The metrics like mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are employed to gauge the model's effectiveness. The deep learning model LSTM outperformed all others in terms of forecasting accuracy. Additionally, the study explores the impact of vaccination on reported epidemics and deaths worldwide. Furthermore, the detrimental effects of ambient temperature and relative humidity on pathogenic virus dissemination have been analyzed.

South African inflation modelling using bootstrapped long short-term memory methods.

Inflation is a critical economic series, and proper targeting is required for a stable economy. With the current economic conditions that the world has faced as a result of COVID-19, understanding the effects of this on economies is critical because it will guide policies. Recent research on South African inflation has focused on statistical modelling, specifically the ARFIMA, GARCH, and GJR-GARCH models. In this study, we extend this into deep learning and use the MSE, RMSE, RSMPE, MAE, and MAPE to assess performance. To test which model has better forecasts, we use the Diebold-Mariano test. According to the findings of this study, clustered bootstrap LSTM models outperform the previously used ARFIMA-GARCH and ARFIMA-GJR-GARCH models.

VRE aided-diagnosis system for anxiety disorders: LSTM architecture for three levels of anxiety recognition.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in increased psychological pressure on mental health since 2019. The resulting anxiety and stress have permeated every aspect of life during confinement. OBJECTIVE: To provide psychologists with an unbiased measure that can aid in the preliminary diagnosis of anxiety disorders and be used as an initial treatment in cognitive-behavioral therapy, this article introduces automated recognition of three levels of anxiety. METHODS: Anxiety was elicited by exposing participants to virtual environments inspired by social situations in reference to the Liebowitz social anxiety scale. Relevant parameters, such as heart rate variability and vasoconstriction were derived from the measurement of the blood volume pulse (BVP) signal. RESULTS: A long short-term memory architecture achieved an accuracy of approximately 98% on the training and test set. CONCLUSION: The generated model allowed for careful study of the state of seven phobic participants during virtual reality exposure (VRE).

Predicting the Impact of Change in Air Quality Patterns Due to COVID-19 Lockdown Policies in Multiple Urban Cities of Henan: A Deep Learning Approach

Several countries implemented prevention and control measures in response to the 2019 new coronavirus virus (COVID-19) pandemic. To study the impact of the lockdown due to COVID-19 on multiple cities, this study utilized data from 18 cities of Henan to understand the air quality pattern change during COVID-19 from 2019 to 2021. It examined the temporal and spatial distribution impact. This study firstly utilized a deep learning bi-directional long-term short-term (Bi-LSTM) model to predict air quality patterns during 3 periods, i.e., COVID-A (before COVID-19, i.e., 2019), COVID-B (during COVID-19, i.e., 2020), COVID-C (after COVID-19 cases, i.e., 2021) and obtained the R-2 value of more than 72% average in each year and decreased MAE value, which was better than other studies' deep learning methods. This study secondly focused on the change of pollutants and observed an increase in Air Quality Index by 10%, a decrease in PM2.5 by 14%, PM10 by 18%, NO2 by 14%, and SO2 by 16% during the COVID-B period. This study found an increase in O-3 by 31% during the COVID-C period and observed a significant decrease in pollutants during the COVID-C period (PM10 by 42%, PM2.5 by 97%, NO2 by 89%, SO2 by 36%, CO by 58%, O-3 by 31%). Lastly, the impact of lockdown policies was studied during the COVID-B period and the results showed that Henan achieved the Grade I standards of air quality standards after lockdown was implemented. Although there were many severe effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on human health and the global economy, lockdowns likely resulted in significant short-term health advantages owing to reduced air pollution and significantly improved ambient air quality. Following COVID-19, the government must take action to address the environmental problems that contributed to the deteriorating air quality.

Predicting Crude Oil Future Price Using Traditional and Artificial Intelligence-Based Model: Comparative Analysis

Crude oil is an imperative energy source for the global economy. The future value of crude oil is challenging to anticipate due to its nonstationarity in nature. The focus of this research is to appraise the explosive behavior of crude oil during 2007-2022, including the most recent influential crisis COVID-19 pandemic, to forecast its prices. The crude oil price forecasts by the traditional econometric ARIMA model were compared with modern Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based Long Short-Term Memory Networks (ALSTM). Root mean square error (RMSE) and mean average percent error (MAPE) values have been used to evaluate the accuracy of such approaches. The results showed that the ALSTM model performs better than the traditional econometric ARIMA forecast model while predicting crude oil opening price on the next working day. Crude oil investors can effectively use this as an intraday trading model and more accurately predict the next working day opening price.

Predicting the Number of Passengers of MRT Jakarta Based on the Use of the QR-Code Payment Method during the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Long Short-Term Memory

The trend of using public transportation has been rising over the last several decades. Because of increased mobility, public transportation has now become more crucial. In modern environments, public transportation is not only used to carry people and products from one location to another but has also evolved into a service company. In Jakarta, Mass Rapid Transit Jakarta (MRTJ) started to operate in late 2019. Recently, they updated their payment gateway system with QR codes. In this study, we predicted the hourly influx of passengers who used QR codes as their preferred payment method. This research applied machine learning to perform a prediction methodology, which is proposed to predict the number of passengers using time-series analysis. The dataset contained 7760 instances across different hours and days in June 2020 and was reshaped to display the total number of passengers each hour. Next, we incorporated time-series regression alongside LSTM frameworks with variations in architecture. One architecture, the 1D CNN-LSTM, yielded a promising prediction error of only one to two passengers for every hour. © 2022, the author(s).

Outbreak trends of fatality rate into coronavirus disease-2019 using deep learning

The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the novel coronavirus as global pandemic on 11 March 2020. It was known to originate from Wuhan, China and its spread is unstoppable due to no proper medication and vaccine. The developed forecasting models predict the number of cases and its fatality rate for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is highly impulsive. This paper provides intrinsic algorithms namely - linear regression and long short-term memory (LSTM) using deep learning for time series-based prediction. It also uses the ReLU activation function and Adam optimiser. This paper also reports a comparative study on existing models for COVID-19 cases from different continents in the world. It also provides an extensive model that shows a brief prediction about the number of cases and time for recovered, active and deaths rate till January 2021.Copyright © 2023 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

A Cross-Corpus Deep Learning Approach to Social Media Emotion Classification

Emotion Detection refers to the identification of emotions from contextual data in the form of written text, such as comments, posts, reviews, publications, articles, recommendations, conversations, and so on. Because of the Internet's exponential uptake and the recent coronavirus outbreak, social media platforms have become a crucial means of sharing thoughts and ideas throughout the entire globe, creating rapid data growth through users' contributions on various platforms. The necessity to acquire knowledge of their behaviors is a matter of great concern for both internet safety and privacy. In this study, we categorize emotional sentiments using deep learning models along with hybrid approaches such as LSTM, Bi-LSTM, and CNN+LSTM. When compared to existing state-of-the-art methods, the experiments showed that the suggested strategy is more robust and achieves an expressively higher quality of emotion detection with an accuracy rate of 94.16%, including strong F1-scores on complex and difficult emotion categories such as Fear (93.85%) and Anger (94.66%) through CNN+LSTM. © 2022 IEEE.

Digital Disease Surveillance for Emerging Infectious Diseases: An Early Warning System Using the Internet and Social Media Data for COVID-19 Forecasting in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Emerging Infectious Diseases (EID) are a significant threat to population health globally. We aimed to examine the relationship between internet search engine queries and social media data on COVID-19 and determine if they can predict COVID-19 cases in Canada. METHODS: We analyzed Google Trends (GT) and Twitter data from 1/1/2020 to 3/31/2020 in Canada and used various signal-processing techniques to remove noise from the data. Data on COVID-19 cases was obtained from the COVID-19 Canada Open Data Working Group. We conducted time-lagged cross-correlation analyses and developed the long short-term memory model for forecasting daily COVID-19 cases. RESULTS: Among symptom keywords, "cough," "runny nose," and "anosmia" were strong signals with high cross-correlation coefficients >0.8 ( rCough = 0.825, t - 9; rRunnyNose = 0.816, t - 11; rAnosmia = 0.812, t - 3 ), showing that searching for "cough," "runny nose," and "anosmia" on GT correlated with the incidence of COVID-19 and peaked 9, 11, and 3 days earlier than the incidence peak, respectively. For symptoms- and COVID-related Tweet counts, the cross-correlations of Tweet signals and daily cases were rTweetSymptoms = 0.868, t - 11 and tTweetCOVID = 0.840, t - 10, respectively. The LSTM forecasting model achieved the best performance (MSE = 124.78, R2 = 0.88, adjusted R2 = 0.87) using GT signals with cross-correlation coefficients >0.75. Combining GT and Tweet signals did not improve the model performance. CONCLUSION: Internet search engine queries and social media data can be used as early warning signals for creating a real-time surveillance system for COVID-19 forecasting, but challenges remain in modelling.

COVID-19 vaccination perception and outcome: society sentiment analysis on twitter data in India.

This study examines the perceptions and results of COVID-19 immunization using sentiment analysis of Twitter data from India. The tweets were collected from January 2021 to March 2023 using relevant hashtags and keywords. The dataset was pre-processed and cleaned before conducting sentiment analysis using Natural Language Processing techniques. Our results show that the overall sentiment toward COVID-19 vaccination in India has been positive, with a majority of tweets expressing support for vaccination and encouraging others to get vaccinated. However, we also identified some negative sentiments related to vaccine hesitancy, side effects, and mistrust in the government and pharmaceutical companies. We further analyzed the sentiment based on demographic factors such as gender, age, and location. The analysis revealed that the sentiment varied across different demographics, with some groups expressing more positive or negative sentiments than others. This study provides insights into the perception and outcomes of COVID-19 vaccination in India and highlights the need for targeted communication strategies to address vaccine hesitancy and increase vaccine uptake in specific demographics.

Real-time Fitness Activity Recognition and Correction using Deep Neural Networks

Fitness activities are beneficial to one's health and well-being. During the Covid-19 pandemic, demand for virtual trainers increased. There are current systems that can classify different exercises, and there are other systems that provide feedback on a specific exercise. We propose a system that can simultaneously recognize a pose as well as provide real-time corrective feedback on the performed exercise with the least latency between recognition and correction. In all computer vision techniques implemented so far, occlusion and a lack of labeled data are the most significant problems in correctly detecting and providing helpful feedback. Vector geometry is employed to calculate the angles between key points detected on the body to provide the user with corrective feedback and count the repetitions of each exercise. Three different architectures-GAN, Conv-LSTM, and LSTM-RNN are experimented with, for exercise recognition. A custom dataset of Jumping Jacks, Squats, and Lunges is used to train the models. GAN achieved a 92% testing accuracy but struggled in real-time performance. The LSTM-RNN architecture yielded a 95% testing accuracy and ConvLSTM obtained an accuracy of 97% on real-time sequences. © 2023 IEEE.

Classification of Lung CT Scan Images using Machine Learning

Timely discovery of COVID-19 may safeguard numerous diseased people. Several such lung diseases can turn to be life threatening. Early detection of these diseases can help in treating them at an early stage before it becomes threatening. In this paper, the proposed 3D CNN model helps in classifying the CT scans as normal and abnormal, which can then be used to treat the patients after recognizing the diseases. Chest X-ray is fewer commanding in the initial phases of the sickness, while a CT scan of the chest is advantageous even formerly symptoms seem, and CT scan accurately identify the anomalous features which are recognized in images. Besides this, using the two forms of images will raise the database. This will enhance the classification accuracy. In this paper the model used is a 3D CNN model;using this model the predictions are done. The dataset used is acquired from NKP Salve Medical Institute, Nagpur. This acquired dataset is used for prediction while an open source database is used for training the CNN model. After training the model the prediction were successfully completed, with these proposed 3D CNN model total accuracy of 87.86% is achieved. This accuracy can further be increased by using larger dataset. © 2022 IEEE.